Poverty dynamics and vulnerability to poverty: An empirical analysis using general household surveys
Population studies
33
Issue: 1
(02 - 2019)
Background: This study analysed determinants of vulnerability to poverty in South Africa utilising
the General Household Surveys from 201 2 to 2015.
Data source and methods: The Foster Greere Thorbecl‹e poverty index by groups and income components
using the Shapley Value was used to identify household vulnerability status. A multinomial logit
model was used to investigate factors that contribute to vulnerability to poverty.
Results: The study findings pointed out that high-income variability contributes to vulnerability
and poverty among urban and rural areas.
Additionally, the findings of the study demonstrated that only a few households fall in the middle
(lower
bound) poverty lines.
Conclusions: Race and location are strong predictors of poverty in South Africa.
Keywords: Income distribution, Inequality, Multinomial logit model, Principal Component, sub-Sahara
JEL Classification C2 I C6 1 1320 10 R20
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